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Only $10 for all 2024 SX, MX, and SMX series (regularly $30).
The $1,285.6 million in stock they and their dealers are holding, might also have something to do with it.
They need to keep two strokes simple. How many guys have you ever heard say “boy that rebuild was too simple” and as much as we all hate the sxs group they should’ve dominated that market like they did the amateur racing segment. I think that would’ve saved em but what do I know.
The early releases kept stating the motorcycle sales had cooled significantly due to higher sustained % rates driving down affordability. This take seems to have lost favor to the overproduction dialogue.
Seems like the saturated used 4T bike market is a key component as well. COVID bikes are selling pretty at very reasonable prices here in TX.
Once again, adjusted for inflation modern 450's are comparable to 250 2-stroke prices all the way back to the early 80's. I'll also say, stop acting like 4-strokes are so hard to rebuild. If you're valves haven't needed adjusted more than 2 times then they don't need replaced yet. A piston kit is comparable to a 2-stroke piston price wise, add in a $50 timing chain and lining up 3 timing marks, oh it's so hard and expensive... There are 14 years olds in shop class rebuilding 4-strokes no problem but a bunch of middle-aged men on here are acting like it's neurosurgery.
People aren't buying bikes because there's no places to ride close to large population centers. Most of us know all about the 2-4 hours we'll drive one way to ride half a day. Tell that to a non-rider coworker and watch their reaction to it. They think we're crazy, my wife of almost 20 years has just now accepted the fact that I'll drag my bike with me wherever we go for the opportunity of riding somewhere new. I drove 2 hours round trip to ride my mountain bike yesterday, it's crazy but I'm v siting family in Garden City KS and that's the closest actual mountain bike trail to this town. The local bike shop closed down several years ago, no one was buying bikes because there's no places to ride locally. Same issue with dirt bikes in most places. We gotta get local municipalities on board for local riding spots and bike sale would definitely take off.
The Shop
Well for being so easy they want around $1000 for a top end on a modern 4T. Not everyone does their own maint. That isn’t nothing to most people.
Good luck on more riding areas - the only portion of the US population that likes dirt bikes are dirt bikers. We’ve peaked and should be thankful for what we have now. Sad but true..
Slower motorcycle sales and over production are tied together, don’t you think? You believe you’ll have a certain demand so you arrange your supply chain to deliver the materials to meet that demand and try to have the units to sell when the customer decides to make the purchase. If demand cools, you’ve over produced and the items sit longer than you had expected.
I think it’s more of a compounding affect - money was cheap during the Boom - they set production based on boom numbers - rapid % rates where prob not fully anticipated - Pay check to pay people dry up. Same with SXS and wave runners.
RD 400, and H2.
The 2025!
Good points. I hear you on the long driving deal…..gotta learn to enjoy those drives somehow.
I am on my third carbureted SV650 in 25 years and love them but being a professional mechanic I get to ride everything. The new bikes like the R9 have way too many electronics to the point of being dangerous for me! Traction control cutting in and out, brake pedal tapping back at you because of ABS, and the factory quick shifter is like having Zuckerberg on the freaking thing with you. If you want a BMW fine, but sometimes simplicity is best, I don't even like the RC valve on my CR250.
Kinda hard to strap a 30 pack of Busch Lattes to your 450 bro
Ain’t that the truth- dirt bikes involve skill and physical strength - SXSs involve beer drinking and sitting on your ass - Prob why they are so popular.
SxS and snowmobiles are on the down turn too. This kind of anecdotal evidence doesn’t prove anything. My local tracks are filled with bikes, doesn’t mean they are flying off the shop floor.
This coming from a guy who puts 200 hours on a clutch pack
My last 450 made it 76 hours before it exploded.
If I rode around in fields I might feel the same as him.
I thought Weege missed the mark on thinkin that we don’t want and need the best equipment. It’s a competition sport and all advantages that are affordable should be used to gain an advantage. Most of us are. so freaking competitive
I don’t think it’s competitive as much as a dick swinging contest. The most competitive people are the ones waxing everyone in a stocker.
Yeah…..you and I know this but the industry needs the spenders
Pit Row
For sure. Just finished that pod, he just dismissed running 3 brands all essentially the same being a big factor. That surprised me.
Many companies are struggling, Ram/Dodge, GM, Ford, SxS companies, bicycle companies are completely in the tank and now KTM. Its the effects of Bidenomics. Inflation and High Interest rates have chocked the economy.
This is global, not just the US. We have influence of course but the US president doesn’t shape the entirety of the world economy. It’s a cop out just to blame Biden (not saying he helped) but inflation was coming after Covid, everyone knew it.
Liking how my crypto is looking since the election 👀
It takes a lot of effort to ride a dirt bike. It just takes money to drive a side by side.
I was involved with the state of Pennsylvania's DCNR in hopes to promote and establish more dirt bike trails. It was fruitless. I sent Emails, letters, DMs, etc. to countless industry insiders, racing organizations, the AMA, manufacturers of bikes and parts, magazines, everybody connected to the sport I could think of to give me examples of the positive economic impact, health benefits. positive influence, etc. of dirt bikes and I only received one reply - from the Coombs family - nobody else. Government officials in my state in charge of outdoor recreation literally have no idea of the positive impact of the AMA motocross races, GNCC, AWARCS, Back country discovery routes, or anything remotely relating to dirt bikes that promotes my state or outdoor recreation within it. They literally do not believe you when you try to explain events like these to them. One executive appointee of the state I advocated that we needed to promote dirt biking in my state sent me flyers printed out with Harley riders on them road riding through state forests. Nobody, I repeat nobody gives a shit about dirt bikes, even the people who profit from them and ride them. Snowmobilers, UTVers, Mnt. bikers, equestrians, all organize, spend money ,volunteer, spend time, make concessions based on people's concerns, and advocate for their sport. Dirt bikers are too individualistic to organize, four stroke riders suck, electric dirt bikes suck, dual sport riders are pussies, you can't handle a bike like this, Triumphs suck they are just another KTM, on and on we denigrate our sport and others involved. Nobody is willing to make any concessions for inclusiveness or to make the sport less offensive to those it offends. While at the same time most of us won't do shit to promote it. This sport is doomed because of our own elitist attitude. If somebody says our bikes are too loud, maybe they are not an asshole, maybe the bike is too loud. If somebody says our bikes tear up the woods too much, maybe they are not an asshole either, maybe we could try less aggressive tires or adapt our riding styles to less damage. God as my witness, I tried for our sports behalf, I want my grandkids to love this sport like I do, but nobody gives a shit. Anxiously awaiting "the UTVs tear up the trails more than we do" narrative, that is not the point. The point is the public perception and the "friendliess" of our sport. When people think of dirt bikes, they think of Travis backflipping and pranging himself into a million pieces, or that half of pro racers in our sport can't finish a season without injury, when they think of UTVs they think of parents in a beer buggy with their kids in the woods.
The 3 brands thing is crazy to me with how close they are. Take the Gas Gas line and make it entry level bikes that are much cheaper and simpler.
It's more fun to ride a slow bike fast then a fast bike slow
Agree with most of what you said. Except.... when people in PA think of dirtbikes, they think of idiots in Philadelphia riding around in huge menacing packs of stolen bikes, blocking traffic and causing chaos. Which is why PA recently passed that anti-dirtbike law.
This is why motocrossers and legitimate dirt bike people need to be pissed about wheelie boys. Like it or not, the general public does not differentiate between them and us.
Thanks for your efforts and insights. Amazing post.
Spoonguy is spot-on.
It's saying a lot that PA has maybe the most public land for off-road riding in the northeast US and the industry and government of the state couldn't care less.
The disorganization around the dirt bike and off-road industry is astounding given how big it is economically compared to other outdoor sports.
That might have worked, but that is an extremely expensive avenue to go down because they don’t have mold or tooling or r&d on play bikes/entry level. No one was clamoring for ktm to make a crf230 competitor the rent way people are asking the Japanese to make a 350.
If a crf230 was 15-20lbs lighter with a hydraulic clutch, and brembos, I think they would sell quite a few.
Post a reply to: To answer weeges question (ktm pod)